The attack on South Pars, a major component of the world’s largest natural gas deposit shared by Iran and Qatar, drove oil prices higher and intensified concerns over global energy supply disruptions.

Trump said Israel had acted “out of anger” and that Washington had no advance knowledge of the operation.

QatarEnergy reported “extensive damage” and sizeable fires at facilities in Ras Laffan Industrial City following missile strikes, while Saudi Arabia said it intercepted four ballistic missiles aimed at Riyadh and thwarted a drone attack on a gas installation in its eastern region.

The strikes mark a significant expansion of hostilities into critical energy infrastructure in the Gulf, a region central to global oil and gas markets. Ras Laffan processes roughly a fifth of the world’s liquefied natural gas, making it one of the most strategically important energy hubs globally.

Iran carried out additional missile attacks on Thursday targeting Qatari gas facilities and the Saudi capital, according to officials, heightening fears of prolonged disruption to energy flows.

The South Pars field itself is a cornerstone of Iran’s gas production and is geologically linked to Qatar’s North Field, underscoring the cross-border risks posed by military escalation.In a post on X, Trump said Israel’s strike had been a response to developments in the region but warned Tehran against further escalation.

He described Iran’s subsequent targeting of Qatar’s LNG facilities as “unjustified,” adding that Doha had not been involved in the initial attack.

Trump said the United States would prevent further Israeli strikes on South Pars unless Iran “unwisely” targets Qatar again. He also warned that any such move by Tehran would trigger a large-scale U.S. response against the gas field.

Earlier reporting by the Wall Street Journal said Trump had approved Israel’s plan to strike Iran’s gas infrastructure, though the president said Washington had no prior knowledge of the specific operation.

Regional fallout widensIran’s actions reflect a broader pattern since the conflict began nearly four weeks ago, with Tehran targeting not only Israel but also U.S. diplomatic and military facilities across the Gulf. Iranian officials have also warned neighbouring states against facilitating attacks on its territory.

Saudi authorities said their air defences successfully neutralised incoming threats, while Qatar has yet to detail the full operational impact of the damage to its LNG facilities.

The widening scope of attacks on energy infrastructure has raised geopolitical and economic stakes, with markets reacting to the potential for sustained disruption across key supply routes and production hubs.

The escalation comes in the third week of the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, which has left at least 2,000 people dead and disrupted critical energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz.

Gulf targets hitIranian strikes hit oil and transport infrastructure in the UAE, where a drone struck a facility in Fujairah for a second consecutive day and debris from an intercepted missile fell in Abu Dhabi, killing one person, authorities said.

Rockets and drones also targeted the U.S. embassy in Baghdad in what Iraqi security sources described as the most intense such assault since the conflict began, though U.S. officials said no injuries were reported.Iran’s attacks have also extended to other Gulf states, including Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Kuwait, signalling a broader regional response.

Trump remarks and intelligence warnings.Trump said the scope of Iran’s retaliation had come as a surprise. “They weren’t supposed to go after all these other countries in the Middle East.

Nobody expected that. We were shocked,” he said.However, U.S. officials and sources familiar with intelligence assessments said the president had been warned before the conflict that strikes on Iran could provoke retaliatory attacks against Gulf allies, particularly if Tehran perceived them as supporting U.S. operations.

There was no pause in hostilities, with Iran launching overnight missile strikes on Israel, demonstrating continued long-range strike capability despite sustained bombardment.

Israel said it carried out a fresh wave of strikes on targets in Tehran and positions linked to Hezbollah in Beirut, and signalled plans for several more weeks of military operations.

Energy and market impactThe widening conflict has kept the Strait of Hormuz largely constrained, as U.S. allies declined to join efforts to secure the waterway.

The disruption has raised concerns over energy supplies, pushed up oil prices and intensified fears of inflation globally.

The currency has come under strain amid rising geopolitical tensions that have disrupted energy markets, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, a key transit route for crude supplies.

Higher oil import costs typically weigh on the rupee by widening India’s trade deficit and increasing dollar outflows.

Dealers said sustained demand for the U.S. dollar from importers, especially oil companies, has kept the rupee under pressure. Concerns over global inflation and tighter financial conditions have also supported the dollar, limiting gains in emerging market currencies.

Market participants pointed to uncertainty stemming from escalating conflict in the Middle East as a key driver behind risk aversion, prompting investors to shift toward safe-haven assets.

Traders said the Reserve Bank of India was likely present in the foreign exchange market to smooth volatility, helping the rupee avoid sharper losses. The central bank typically intervenes to curb excessive fluctuations rather than defend specific levels.

Analysts expect the rupee to remain sensitive to oil price movements and global risk sentiment in the near term, with any further escalation in geopolitical tensions likely to add to downward pressure.

The conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran has entered its third week, with the Strait of Hormuz — a corridor for roughly one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas flows effectively constrained by Iranian drones and naval mines.

Several U.S. partners, including Germany, Spain and Italy, said they had no immediate plans to send warships to secure the passage, citing legal and political constraints.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said Berlin lacked a mandate from the United Nations, the European Union or NATO, and added that Germany had not been consulted prior to the launch of military operations.

Trump, speaking in Washington, said some countries had expressed willingness to assist but criticised others for what he described as a lack of enthusiasm despite long-standing U.S. support.

The disruption in the Strait of Hormuz has heightened fears of supply shocks and inflationary pressure, as energy markets react to restricted flows through one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints.Iran has targeted oil infrastructure across the Gulf, including facilities in the United Arab Emirates.

Drone strikes hit an oil facility in Fujairah for a second consecutive day, while operations at key sites, including the Shah gas field in Abu Dhabi, were suspended.

Airspace closures and temporary halts at major hubs, including Dubai’s international airport, underscored the wider economic and logistical impact.

There was no pause in hostilities, with Israel saying it struck Iranian infrastructure in Tehran and positions linked to Hezbollah in Beirut. Israeli officials have indicated plans for at least three more weeks of military operations.

Iran launched overnight strikes on Israel, demonstrating continued long-range capabilities, while warning it would target energy assets in any country facilitating attacks on its territory.

Tehran has also accused the UAE of serving as a launch point for recent U.S. strikes on Kharg Island, a major Iranian oil export hub, signalling a potential widening of the conflict’s geographic scope.

Futures for the GIFT Nifty were trading at 23,257 at 08:11 a.m. IST, indicating that the Nifty 50 would open above Friday’s close of 23,151.10 after posting its steepest weekly drop in years and entering a technical correction.

Supply route developments lift sentimentMarket sentiment improved after the Wall Street Journal reported that the United States was preparing to announce a coalition of countries to escort commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, a maritime corridor that handles about one-fifth of global oil supply.

Additional support came after two India-flagged liquefied petroleum gas carriers Shivalik and Nanda Devi transporting roughly 92,712 metric tons of LPG successfully crossed the strait last week en route to India, easing immediate concerns about fuel supply disruptions.

India’s foreign minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar said in an interview with the Financial Times published Sunday that he had been in discussions with Iran and that dialogue had produced some results.

However, investors remain cautious as the conflict in the Middle East continues to threaten energy flows and financial markets.

Oil and currency pressures persist as rude oil prices have stayed above $100 per barrel during the conflict, raising concerns about inflation and economic growth in India

.The surge in energy costs has also pushed the Indian Rupee to record lows against the U.S. dollar, highlighting the vulnerability of the country’s energy-dependent economy.

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has been heavily curtailed since the United States and Israel launched a bombing campaign on Iran at the end of February, prompting Tehran to largely halt commercial shipping through the critical waterway.

“We see actions by the United States aimed at trying to stabilize energy markets. In this respect, our interests coincide,” Peskov said in remarks carried by Russian media.

The comments followed an announcement by Scott Bessent, the U.S. Treasury secretary, who said Washington had issued a temporary authorization allowing countries to purchase Russian oil cargoes already in transit at sea. The measure extends a similar waiver that had previously applied only to refiners in India.

Bessent said the authorization was narrowly designed to ease market volatility without significantly benefiting the Russian government.

“This narrowly tailored, short-term measure applies only to oil already in transit and will not provide significant financial benefit to the Russian government,” he said in a statement posted on social media.According to Bessent, most Russian energy revenue is generated through taxes assessed at the point of extraction rather than through shipments already in transit.

The decision comes as oil markets react sharply to rising geopolitical risks linked to the widening conflict involving Iran, Israel and the United States.

The waiver has drawn mixed reactions in European capitals, where officials have warned that any easing of restrictions on Russian energy exports could indirectly support Moscow’s war effort in Ukraine.Katherina Reiche, Germany’s economy minister, said she was concerned the measure could help finance Russian military operations.

“I am concerned that we are further filling Putin’s war chest,” Reiche said in Berlin.At the same time, she acknowledged that the U.S. administration faced mounting domestic pressures linked to rising energy costs.“It seems to me that domestic political pressure in the United States is very, very high,” she said.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz took a firmer stance, saying it was wrong to ease sanctions on Russia for any reason. Similar concerns were voiced by Jonas Gahr Store, the prime minister of Norway, who said sanctions should remain in place.

Oil prices remained elevated above $100 per barrel on Friday as investors reacted to intensifying geopolitical risks. Markets have been particularly sensitive to threats involving the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route for global oil supplies.

Equity markets also declined amid fears that an extended conflict could disrupt energy flows and intensify inflationary pressures on the global economy.

With the conflict entering its third week and no resolution in sight, analysts say investors are increasingly focused on the potential economic consequences of prolonged instability in energy markets.

The discussions inside the White House reflect competing priorities among economic, political and national security advisers as the United States and Israel continue military operations targeting Iran.

Officials involved in the internal discussions said there is no unified view on the desired end point of the conflict, prompting debate among Trump’s advisers over how long military pressure should be maintained.

Some national security hawks are urging the administration to sustain operations against Iran, arguing that continued pressure could weaken the Islamic Republic’s military capabilities and regional influence.

Other advisers are advocating a more limited campaign that would allow the president to declare victory quickly while avoiding a prolonged conflict that could expand across the region.Those differing views have contributed to fluctuations in Trump’s public remarks about the war’s trajectory and possible outcomes.

Members of the administration’s economic team have warned that the conflict could have domestic political consequences if energy prices rise significantly.

The war has already unsettled global energy markets, raising concerns within the administration about the potential for higher gasoline prices in the United States.

Officials familiar with the discussions said economic advisers have cautioned that sustained disruptions to oil supply routes in the Middle East could place additional pressure on consumers and financial markets.

Political advisers close to Trump have argued for a limited and swift operation, according to people familiar with the deliberations. They contend that a shorter campaign could reduce economic fallout while allowing the president to frame the military action as a strategic success.

The competing recommendations have produced what one person close to the discussions described as a complex internal debate over how the administration should define victory and manage the conflict’s political and economic implications.

As the war continues, the policy discussions within the White House are expected to remain fluid as officials monitor developments across the Middle East and assess the broader impact of the confrontation.

The temporary licence was granted as benchmark Brent crude traded around $101 per barrel by 1000 GMT, reflecting continued volatility in energy markets despite Washington’s move. Oil prices have surged nearly 40% since the start of the conflict, driven by fears that escalating hostilities could disrupt global supplies.

Financial markets in Asia also came under pressure as traders weighed the risks of prolonged instability in the Middle East, a region that remains central to global energy production and transportation.

Oil prices jumped about 9% to around $100 a barrel on Thursday as concerns intensified over the durability of supply chains during the ongoing conflict. Traders have been particularly focused on the security of the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow maritime corridor through which roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil supply passes.

Iran has attacked vessels in the strategic waterway during the current confrontation, heightening fears that further disruptions could ripple across global energy markets.

The waiver issued by Washington allows countries to buy Russian petroleum cargoes already at sea, where shipments frequently change ownership during transit. The measure is intended to increase short-term supply availability and reduce upward pressure on prices.

“The temporary increase in oil prices is a short-term and temporary disruption that will result in a massive benefit to our nation and economy in the long term,” said Scott Bessent, the U.S. Treasury secretary.

The energy market turbulence comes as the conflict between Israel and Iran entered its third week with continued missile exchanges.

Iran launched another barrage of missiles and drones toward Israel on Friday, while the Israeli military said it conducted air strikes across Tehran and continued operations against the Iranian-aligned Hezbollah militia in Lebanon, including strikes around the capital, Beirut.

Iranian media reported that rallies marking Quds Day began across Iran in support of Palestinians. Residents in Tehran and the nearby city of Karaj reported hearing explosions and fighter jets during Israeli strikes, according to local media coverage.

Energy traders have closely followed comments by Donald Trump regarding the likely duration of the conflict, which has added to volatility in oil markets and global equities.

The sharp rise in crude prices has contributed to declines in U.S. stocks and broader market unease as investors assess the potential for prolonged disruptions to energy flows.

The waiver allowing limited Russian oil transactions reflects Washington’s attempt to cushion global markets while the conflict continues to unfold across the region.

The war, which has intensified over the past several weeks, has moved beyond traditional military confrontations and now threatens critical economic lifelines that sustain the global economy.

Attacks on oil infrastructure, commercial shipping routes, and strategic maritime corridors have begun to disrupt international trade and energy markets.
At the center of global concern is the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important maritime chokepoints.

Nearly a fifth of the global oil supply normally passes through the narrow waterway linking the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea. Any disruption to shipping in this corridor can have immediate and far-reaching effects on energy prices and global economic stability.

Recent days have seen a sharp rise in attacks on merchant vessels and oil tankers moving through the region. Maritime security officials say explosive-laden boats and drones have targeted several ships, forcing many commercial vessels to alter their routes or suspend operations altogether. Shipping companies have grown increasingly cautious, and insurance costs for vessels operating in the Gulf have surged dramatically.

The disruptions have already had a significant impact on energy markets. Oil prices climbed sharply after reports that shipping through the Strait of Hormuz had slowed dramatically, with analysts warning that sustained interruptions could push prices far higher.
Governments around the world have begun preparing emergency measures to prevent a broader energy crisis.

Several major economies have discussed releasing oil from their strategic reserves in an attempt to stabilize markets and reassure investors. However, analysts caution that such measures would only provide temporary relief if the conflict continues to escalate.
The military dimension of the crisis is also intensifying. Israeli and American forces have carried out a series of airstrikes targeting Iranian military installations, missile sites, and logistical infrastructure.

The strikes, officials say, were aimed at degrading Iran’s military capabilities and preventing further attacks on regional allies and international shipping.
Iran has responded with a mix of conventional and asymmetric tactics.

Iranian forces and allied groups have launched missile and drone strikes against military positions and strategic infrastructure across the region. Some attacks have targeted energy facilities, including refineries and storage installations, further amplifying fears of a broader supply disruption.

The conflict has also raised concerns about the potential involvement of additional regional actors. Neighboring countries across the Middle East are closely monitoring the situation, wary that the fighting could spill across borders or provoke retaliatory actions that would widen the war.

Beyond the military and economic consequences, the conflict is already producing serious humanitarian impacts. Airstrikes and missile attacks have caused significant damage to urban infrastructure in several areas, forcing civilians to flee their homes in search of safety. Hospitals and emergency services are struggling to cope with the growing number of casualties.

International organizations have warned that continued escalation could produce a large-scale humanitarian crisis, particularly if critical infrastructure such as power plants, water systems, and hospitals becomes further damaged.

The war is also intensifying geopolitical tensions between major global powers. Governments in Europe and Asia are increasingly concerned about the impact of rising energy prices and potential supply shortages. Several countries have called for diplomatic efforts to de-escalate the conflict before it spreads further.
Despite these appeals, diplomatic progress has been limited.

Deep political divisions between the parties involved, combined with the strategic importance of the region, have made negotiations extremely difficult.
Analysts say the conflict reflects broader shifts in the Middle East’s geopolitical landscape. Long-standing rivalries, unresolved political disputes, and competing security interests have created a volatile environment where even small incidents can escalate rapidly into wider confrontations.

The economic implications extend far beyond the Middle East. Energy-importing nations are particularly vulnerable to prolonged disruptions in Gulf oil supplies. Higher fuel costs can quickly translate into rising inflation, increased transportation expenses, and higher prices for goods and services around the world.

Financial markets have already begun reacting to the uncertainty. Investors are closely watching developments in the region, and volatility in oil prices has spread to stock markets and currency exchanges.
Some economists warn that a prolonged conflict could contribute to a global economic slowdown, particularly if energy prices remain elevated for an extended period.

High oil prices have historically been associated with economic downturns, as they increase production costs and reduce consumer spending power.

The aviation and shipping industries are also facing growing challenges. Airlines have begun adjusting flight routes to avoid potential conflict zones, while shipping companies are reassessing the risks of operating in the Gulf region. These adjustments increase operating costs and could disrupt global supply chains.

Despite the mounting tensions, some analysts believe the conflict may eventually stabilize if both sides seek to avoid a full-scale regional war. However, they caution that the situation remains highly unpredictable.

Much will depend on whether diplomatic efforts can gain momentum and whether regional actors choose to exercise restraint. Even small miscalculations could trigger further escalation, potentially drawing additional countries into the conflict.

For now, the war between Iran, Israel, and the United States stands as one of the most serious geopolitical crises in recent years. Its outcome will not only shape the future of the Middle East but could also influence global economic stability for years to come.

The Philippines, which holds the rotating ASEAN chairmanship this year, is hosting an economic ministers’ retreat while foreign ministers are scheduled to convene virtually on the same day to discuss the widening crisis and its implications for Southeast Asia.

Philippine Trade Undersecretary Allan Gepty said the conflict’s economic impact would feature prominently in discussions, particularly as energy prices and logistics disruptions ripple through regional economies.“The concern is a given,” Gepty told reporters, noting that ASEAN governments could not ignore the potential effects on inflation, employment and supply chains.

Joint strikes by the United States and Israel on Iran launched nearly two weeks ago have killed around 2,000 people and disrupted global energy markets and transportation routes, according to officials cited in the discussions.

The conflict has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic maritime chokepoint through which roughly a fifth of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas shipments pass, sending crude prices above $100 per barrel and triggering volatility in global markets.

Several Southeast Asian economies depend heavily on crude oil and LNG imports from the Gulf, raising concerns over fuel costs and energy security if disruptions persist.

The Philippines imports a significant portion of its oil from the Middle East, while a halt in liquefied natural gas exports from QatarEnergy has tightened regional supply conditions.

Authorities in Manila have shortened the government work week to conserve fuel, and President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. has asked Congress for authority to suspend fuel excise taxes to cushion rising costs.

Elsewhere in the region, Vietnam cut retail fuel prices overnight after a recent easing in global crude benchmarks but warned volatility could persist amid ongoing supply disruptions.

Earlier this month, Thailand halted energy exports to all countries except Laos and Myanmar in an effort to safeguard domestic supply.

ASEAN foreign ministers have described the escalation of the conflict as “particularly regrettable” and called for an immediate cessation of hostilities, urging all sides to exercise restraint, protect civilians and resolve differences through dialogue in accordance with international law.

Regional officials say coordinated policy responses will be essential to manage the economic shock if disruptions to energy supplies and trade routes continue.

“It is important that our actions and responses to the ongoing conflicts must be synchronised,” Gepty said.