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	<title>Stephen Miran &#8211; The Milli Chronicle</title>
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	<title>Stephen Miran &#8211; The Milli Chronicle</title>
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		<title>Bessent Sees Brighter Economic Outlook as Housing Sector Faces Adjustment</title>
		<link>https://www.millichronicle.com/2025/11/58579.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 02 Nov 2025 20:49:32 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[affordable housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer confidence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic outlook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic transition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fiscal policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[high interest rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[home sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing market recovery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation control]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jerome Powell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[monetary policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage affordability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rate cuts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Scott Bessent]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stephen Miran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. housing stabilization]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Treasury Secretary]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Treasury Secretary urges faster rate cuts to strengthen consumer confidence and stabilize housing growth. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote">
<p> Treasury Secretary urges faster rate cuts to strengthen consumer confidence and stabilize housing growth.</p>
</blockquote>



<p> U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has struck an optimistic yet realistic tone on the nation’s economy, highlighting that while certain sectors such as housing are under pressure from high interest rates, the broader U.S. economy remains resilient and well-positioned for recovery. </p>



<p>Speaking on Sunday, Bessent emphasized that the Federal Reserve has the opportunity to accelerate rate cuts to help balance growth and affordability, especially in the housing market.</p>



<p>Bessent noted that the United States continues to show economic strength in several key areas, from employment to consumer spending, but that the housing sector faces temporary challenges</p>



<p>. “We are in good shape, but there are sectors of the economy that are in recession,” he said in an interview, adding that high mortgage rates have made it difficult for first-time homebuyers and low-income families to access affordable housing.</p>



<p> “The Fed has caused a lot of distributional problems with their policies,” he said.</p>



<p>The Treasury Secretary pointed out that despite these pressures, the overall financial system remains healthy. He described the current period as a “transition phase” — one where steady policy actions could steer the economy back toward balanced growth.</p>



<p> Pending home sales in September were flat, according to the National Association of Realtors, suggesting stabilization after months of adjustment in the housing market.</p>



<p>Experts note that rising borrowing costs have cooled real estate demand, but with inflation showing signs of moderation and unemployment rates stable, conditions are ripe for a rebound if interest rates ease.</p>



<p> Bessent reinforced this view, saying that lower rates could unlock new opportunities in housing construction and lending, spurring economic activity across related sectors such as materials, furnishings, and local services.</p>



<p>The Treasury chief’s comments followed a week of debate within the Federal Reserve over how quickly to move on rate adjustments. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently hinted that additional rate cuts at the December meeting were “not a foregone conclusion,” a cautious stance that has drawn criticism from both administration officials and market analysts. </p>



<p>Bessent, along with Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran, argued that keeping rates high for too long risks slowing the economy unnecessarily.</p>



<p>Miran, who previously chaired the White House Council of Economic Advisers, warned in a recent interview that prolonged tight monetary policy could trigger avoidable slowdowns. </p>



<p>“If you keep policy this tight for a long period of time, you run the risk that monetary policy itself is inducing a recession,” he said, calling instead for a 50-basis-point cut to stimulate momentum and maintain investor confidence.</p>



<p>Bessent echoed that sentiment, highlighting the government’s efforts to reduce fiscal pressure. He pointed to the Trump administration’s successful moves to lower the deficit-to-GDP ratio from 6.4% to 5.9%, an achievement that contributes to easing inflationary pressures. “If we are contracting spending, then inflation should be dropping. </p>



<p>If inflation is dropping, then the Fed should be cutting rates,” he said, suggesting that fiscal responsibility and monetary flexibility can work hand in hand.</p>



<p>Market analysts believe that faster rate cuts could rejuvenate the housing sector, making mortgages more affordable and boosting home sales, particularly among younger and first-time buyers. </p>



<p>The ripple effects could support construction jobs, increase consumer confidence, and stimulate growth in local economies.</p>



<p>Despite recent challenges, the overall tone from Bessent and other policymakers remains positive. The U.S. economy continues to show adaptability amid changing global conditions, supported by strong private investment, technological innovation, and a robust labor market.</p>



<p> With potential policy adjustments on the horizon, analysts say the nation is well-positioned for renewed growth and a stronger housing market heading into 2026.</p>
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Fed&#8217;s Miran math may overstate the impact of immigration on inflation</title>
		<link>https://www.millichronicle.com/2025/09/56156.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 27 Sep 2025 11:00:35 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[central banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer price index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic impact]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic insights]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic modeling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic stability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fed governor]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[financial planning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fiscal policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global economic trends.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing affordability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[immigration impact]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation control]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation reduction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interest rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[macroeconomics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mariel boatlift]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[monetary policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[monetary strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[policy decisions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[population growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[population shifts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real estate prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rent prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rental inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Saiz research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stephen Miran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump immigration policies]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[U.S. housing market trends]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[&#8221;Population shifts won’t rock U.S. inflation,” says Fed Governor Stephen Miran. As the U.S. Federal Reserve continues to refine its]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote">
<p>&#8221;Population shifts won’t rock U.S. inflation,” says Fed Governor Stephen Miran.</p>
</blockquote>



<p>As the U.S. Federal Reserve continues to refine its policy tools, recent analyses around immigration’s impact on housing and inflation underscore a measured, data-driven approach that reassures both markets and consumers. Fed Governor Stephen Miran’s recent assessment sparked discussions about potential effects of immigration trends on rent and overall inflation, but experts emphasize that the broader U.S. economy remains resilient.</p>



<p>Miran’s evaluation, which referenced historical housing data from the 1980 Mariel boatlift in Miami, aims to understand how changes in population dynamics could influence rental markets and consumer prices. While his initial estimates suggested a moderate effect on rent inflation, leading economists point out that the actual impact is smaller than early figures implied, highlighting the robustness of U.S. housing and rental markets.</p>



<p>Albert Saiz, a distinguished MIT economist whose research informed parts of Miran’s analysis, notes that population growth and migration patterns do influence housing prices, but the magnitude is manageable. Even with shifts in local demand, overall consumer inflation is projected to remain stable, giving policymakers confidence in a steady economic environment. This measured perspective allows the Fed to carefully calibrate its interest rates while maintaining its dual focus on price stability and employment growth.</p>



<p>By considering the full scope of population trends and rental market data, Miran and the Federal Reserve are demonstrating a forward-looking approach. Their work reflects an effort to anticipate market movements without overreacting to short-term changes, ensuring Americans experience balanced and predictable inflation trends. Saiz’s latest research shows that a modest adjustment in rent inflation would have a limited effect on the national consumer price index, reinforcing that the economy is fundamentally resilient.</p>



<p>Miran’s updated analysis retains a cautious estimate for rent-related inflation adjustments but emphasizes that the effect on total inflation will be minimal, around 0.1 percentage points per year. This measured approach allows the Fed to respond thoughtfully, maintaining a stable monetary environment while still addressing emerging trends. Analysts see this as a positive step in ensuring that policy decisions are informed, data-driven, and protective of consumer interests.</p>



<p>The discussion also highlights the broader benefits of rigorous research in shaping economic policy. By incorporating historical data and contemporary studies, the Fed continues to provide guidance that supports sustainable growth. This balance reassures businesses, investors, and everyday Americans that inflation and housing markets are being monitored and managed carefully, reducing uncertainty and enhancing economic confidence.</p>



<p>As the Federal Reserve evaluates its policies in light of these findings, markets can remain optimistic. The emphasis on careful measurement, combined with the recognition that population shifts have a manageable effect on inflation, underscores the Fed’s commitment to a stable, forward-looking economy. Policymakers are thus positioned to make informed, proactive decisions that support both economic stability and long-term growth.</p>



<p>In conclusion, the ongoing analysis of immigration and housing impacts illustrates the Fed’s dedication to maintaining a resilient economy while applying thoughtful, research-based policy decisions. Americans can take comfort in knowing that the central bank is continuously evaluating trends and employing measured strategies to ensure stability, affordability, and continued economic growth across the nation.</p>
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